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Post by sokerfan on Jan 21, 2015 9:10:21 GMT -6
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Post by sokerfan on Jan 21, 2015 9:18:06 GMT -6
Looks like Byrd would have the easiest draw. LOL!!
Thibodaux, Dominican, SSA and then Mt. Carmel to get to the Finals. GOOD LUCK!
One more week of games to move up or down. This will be interesting.
SSA #4 - didn't they beat #1 Mt. Carmel & #3 Mandeville? I'm not sure if they played #2 St. Josephs.
A couple teams might be bumped due to District Champions taking their spots. We'll see.
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Post by soccerdad23 on Jan 21, 2015 9:27:39 GMT -6
SSA beat St Joes 5-1 at the Dominican tourney
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Post by time2retire on Jan 21, 2015 10:37:34 GMT -6
I think this would be the first year Thibodaux girls would make the playoff. And they're a tough team who has come a long way.
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Post by dme1214 on Jan 21, 2015 11:33:52 GMT -6
Who's liking the Power Rankings now? Why do ou show 2 teams from district 8 taking over spots in top 32? It looks like West Jefferson (#32) has the upper hand in the district, with only 1 loss and a tie, while John Ehret has 3 loses and a tie and Grace King has 2 losses and a tie, is there something I am missing? |
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Post by sokerfan on Jan 21, 2015 13:09:52 GMT -6
dme1214, I don't know what teams nor what district the teams I listed are in. Since those teams have been represented in the past I just referenced them not knowing the district.
MY bad!
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Post by dme1214 on Jan 21, 2015 13:32:21 GMT -6
dme1214, I don't know what teams nor what district the teams I listed are in. Since those teams have been represented in the past I just referenced them not knowing the district. MY bad! No problem, I just have some friends with kids on teams on the bubble, so knowing how many teams that will take a top 32 spot away will be helpful |
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Post by pompey on Jan 21, 2015 14:28:52 GMT -6
Don't forget minimum games requirement - may bump a few peeps
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Post by ecolintman on Jan 21, 2015 20:46:44 GMT -6
St Joes will drop this week. 2 games vs Mc Kinley really hurt plus MCA on Saturday.
SSA will move up with win over STM.
Should be Mt Carmel 1 and SSA 2 on Monday.
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Post by archer12 on Jan 22, 2015 8:44:47 GMT -6
dme 1214, I do understand your point as the coach of GK. The only way we could make the playoffs West Jeff lose to GK, John E, and Chalmette and my team win all of our remaining games.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 22, 2015 9:56:47 GMT -6
after crunching all the numbers we are going to find that the power rankings did a very good job - not perfect. Teams in the top 15 will be only 1 or two spots away from where most people think they should be. Coaches seeding would have been the same - debates about a spot or two. I like it.
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Post by archer12 on Jan 22, 2015 18:49:50 GMT -6
I feel two spot hkn is only right! Last year three teams in my district went to the playoffs now only one isn't right to me, but I know I have a lot to understand as a three year coach  |
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Post by dme1214 on Jan 22, 2015 19:59:13 GMT -6
after crunching all the numbers we are going to find that the power rankings did a very good job - not perfect. Teams in the top 15 will be only 1 or two spots away from where most people think they should be. Coaches seeding would have been the same - debates about a spot or two. I like it. Not sure this is true in D1. Right now there are 2 teams in PR that have not gotten a vote in any of the polls. |
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Post by ecolintman on Jan 22, 2015 20:10:11 GMT -6
after crunching all the numbers we are going to find that the power rankings did a very good job - not perfect. Teams in the top 15 will be only 1 or two spots away from where most people think they should be. Coaches seeding would have been the same - debates about a spot or two. I like it. Power rankings are incredibly flawed. Nat Central has no wins against a quality team. West Monroe is out of place also. SSA had to add a game to move up. It is joke....a bad joke. |
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Post by futbol22 on Jan 24, 2015 14:18:33 GMT -6
after crunching all the numbers we are going to find that the power rankings did a very good job - not perfect. Teams in the top 15 will be only 1 or two spots away from where most people think they should be. Coaches seeding would have been the same - debates about a spot or two. I like it. I've heard that the higher seed in the semifinals this year will get a home game despite travel in the quarterfinals. That makes the top two seeds very important. Right now, the highest ranked teams on the coaches poll in Div I and Div II are not in the top two in the Power Rankings. So for right now, they are not doing a very good job. Just as I've been told all year to wait until the final poll, I suggest that you do the same. One or two spots does make a difference.
I think SSA has a good chance to get into #2, but as of right now, they've beaten all the teams above them by 3, 4 and 4 goals and sit 4th. Even worse is Ben Franklin as I think they have a more difficult time getting into the second spot. I haven't seen Loyola play, but after playing both teams, I can tell you that Ben Franklin is much better than STM. They might be the best team in the state at any division.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 25, 2015 21:23:58 GMT -6
Ssa was going to be #2 even if sja and mandy won out. Which they did not. When d1 tourney comes out there are going to be two teams a little higher than maybe they should be if humans ranked them. But we've all seen this year why we are letting a computer do it. So it's all good. D1 is so hard to predict from 3 and below that it really doesn't matter.
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Post by Ronaldinho on Jan 25, 2015 23:09:46 GMT -6
we've all seen this year why we are letting a computer do it. So it's all good. What exactly is meant by this? I could be wrong but it seems the vast majority of fans consider the coaches' polls more accurate and representative than the power rankings. A few things I see in the power rankings seem like they should be mathematically unjustifiable, so I (and I think other fans as well) just assume the formula is flawed. I could be wrong on this too, but didn't the coaches' top 8 seeds end up the 8 quarterfinalists in every division last year, and didn't every division end up #1 vs #2 in the state final? That's pretty impressive seeding, then we change to something people can't make sense of. I completely admit that the power rankings are slowly looking better over the course of the season, but they still seem flawed. Futbol22 is right, getting it 100% right instead of "within a couple spots right" can make a real difference to these teams. I don't understand the logic of being happy with a system that yields what everyone sees as worse results, just so that we can tell ourselves that human bias didn't mess anything up. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 28, 2015 11:19:05 GMT -6
after crunching all the numbers we are going to find that the power rankings did a very good job - not perfect. Teams in the top 15 will be only 1 or two spots away from where most people think they should be. Coaches seeding would have been the same - debates about a spot or two. I like it. Power rankings are incredibly flawed. Nat Central has no wins against a quality team. West Monroe is out of place also. SSA had to add a game to move up. It is joke....a bad joke. I have SSA finishing 2 and Natch finishing 13 in the power rankings and that is with both teams winning out. Not a joke at all. Looks pretty good to me. In the final power ranking 3-11 can beat each other on any given day. Call it parity or depth. These are all very good teams. Still a lot of games left but since Jan 20 not too many surprises. Top 10 results are falling predictably except for 2 games IMO; so going chalk you have a good chance of predicting within a spot or two where everyone will end up. There are a couple of games I'd like to think are hard for people to predict. But playing against #2 in both D-1 and D-3 to finish the season will be a great tune-up for the playoffs no matter what happens. |
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Post by dme1214 on Jan 28, 2015 14:39:13 GMT -6
Power rankings are incredibly flawed. Nat Central has no wins against a quality team. West Monroe is out of place also. SSA had to add a game to move up. It is joke....a bad joke. I have SSA finishing 2 and Natch finishing 13 in the power rankings and that is with both teams winning out. Not a joke at all. Looks pretty good to me. In the final power ranking 3-11 can beat each other on any given day. Call it parity or depth. These are all very good teams. Still a lot of games left but since Jan 20 not too many surprises. Top 10 results are falling predictably except for 2 games IMO; so going chalk you have a good chance of predicting within a spot or two where everyone will end up. There are a couple of games I'd like to think are hard for people to predict. But playing against #2 in both D-1 and D-3 to finish the season will be a great tune-up for the playoffs no matter what happens. I agree that SSA will end second and Natch Central will drop out of the top 10 (based on the games they have left) But I would expand your statement that 3-11 can beat each other on any given day. I would stretch that to 3-18 or so. I have seen, Byrd Loyola, Lakeshore, Northshore, Mandeville, Acadiana, Dominican, St Josephs, Natch Central, West monroe and of course our Parkway play. Any one of these teams can go out and beat any other on this list, if the ball bounced right for them that day. Look at some of the scores between these teams, they are all within a goal or 2. (with an exception or 2) None of the higher seeds 3-8 can pencil themselves into the quarterfinals knowing how tough the 9-20 teams have played them during the season, it seems more wide open this year then certainly last year was. To your point of a lot of games remaining, this is true, with some games having huge impacts on the final PR. As an example look at tonights Parkway vs Byrd game: If Parkway win they get 24 PR points if they lose they get 10 PR points, If Byrd wins they get 21 points and if they lose they will get 8.5 (not to mention additional points for games remaining) The difference from winning to losing is almost A HALF A POINT on either teams final PR average, how many positions could that jump either team in the rankings. Now i am sure there are many other such examples around the state. This will be a fun and interesting finish and playoffs |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 28, 2015 17:32:05 GMT -6
Predictions: Not too hard to predict now
MC, SSA, DOM, (MAndy or SJA), WM, FB, North, (Byrd or Acadiana) BRHS, Natch, Comeaux, Dutch
There are few big games that could move SJA and I have Byrd ahead by .001 so they could flip with Acadiana. BRHS and below are pretty entrenched. If BRHS loses both they could drop.
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