|
|
Post by dme1214 on Jan 27, 2019 1:09:42 GMT -6
Final Projections. There are about 40 games Monday and the could be more with make up games. Plus there are some unreported scores. Sorry I can't give much commentary on divisions II III and IV. I just don't know enough about those teams. Division I 1 Byrd, C.E. - Pulling for Acadiana on Monday. Acadiana win or tie keeps Byrd at the top. 2 St. Scholastica - STM win Monday gives SSA slightly better than 50-50 chance to finish 1. 3 Mandeville - Locked in 4 West Monroe - Locked in 5 Dominican - This is a desirable spot. Acadiana owns it with a win. Tie and its 50/50 Acadiana and Dominican 6 Acadiana - Lands here or 7 with a loss to STM 7 St. Joseph's Academy - Could possibly move u p to 6 with Acadiana loss 8 Mt. Carmel - Needs win vs Ulab to get home game vs Northshore/24 winner 9 Northshore - Continues to fall finally landing here 10 Baton Rouge - Needs to take of business Monday Division II 1 St. Thomas More 2 Lakeshore 3 Neville 4 Destrehan 5 Central Lafourche 6 Houston, Sam 7 Ouachita Parish - Could easily switch with Caddo Magnet 8 Caddo Magnet 9 Franklin, Ben 10 Live Oak Division III 1 Vandebilt Catholic 2 Teurlings Catholic 3 University Lab 4 Archbishop Hannan 5 St. Louis 6 White, E.D. 7 Holy Savior Menard 8 North DeSoto 9 Erath 10 Cabrini Division IV 1 Loyola Prep 2 Episcopal of Acadiana 3 McGehee, Louise 4 Houma Christian 5 Acad. of Sacred Heart - N.O. 6 Sterlington 7 Newman, Isidore 8 St. Charles - Could easily be 9 9 Christ Episcopal School - Could easily be 8 10 Catholic - N.I. I’ll try and help with D2 If neville loses to Sterlington then it will come down to .02 depending other games for the 3/4 spots, I hear they have a couple key players nursing injuries. 6-9 is up in the air If Sam Houston ties Deridder their range goes from 12.077 to 12.10 If Ben Franklin ties Dominican they finish about 12.097 Ouachita wins vs Buckeye and they end around 12.08 Magnet looks like they will finish between 12.02 and 12.07 depending on if Northwoods district games get scored That means all four teams could be within .08. So any game cancelled or go against predicted then any of these 4 teams could be in any spot 6-9. BF wins and they go to 6 lose and they are 9 Sam Houston wins they are 6 if BF doesn’t win if they lose try could drop to 9. I predict it to go 6 Sam Houston 7 Ouachita 8 Magnet 9 Ben Franklin (thy have the toughest game) |
|
|
|
Post by goalie1 on Jan 27, 2019 6:48:31 GMT -6
Final Projections. There are about 40 games Monday and the could be more with make up games. Plus there are some unreported scores. Sorry I can't give much commentary on divisions II III and IV. I just don't know enough about those teams. Division I 1 Byrd, C.E. - Pulling for Acadiana on Monday. Acadiana win or tie keeps Byrd at the top. 2 St. Scholastica - STM win Monday gives SSA slightly better than 50-50 chance to finish 1. 3 Mandeville - Locked in 4 West Monroe - Locked in 5 Dominican - This is a desirable spot. Acadiana owns it with a win. Tie and its 50/50 Acadiana and Dominican 6 Acadiana - Lands here or 7 with a loss to STM 7 St. Joseph's Academy - Could possibly move u p to 6 with Acadiana loss 8 Mt. Carmel - Needs win vs Ulab to get home game vs Northshore/24 winner 9 Northshore - Continues to fall finally landing here 10 Baton Rouge - Needs to take of business Monday Division II 1 St. Thomas More 2 Lakeshore 3 Neville 4 Destrehan 5 Central Lafourche 6 Houston, Sam 7 Ouachita Parish - Could easily switch with Caddo Magnet 8 Caddo Magnet 9 Franklin, Ben 10 Live Oak Division III 1 Vandebilt Catholic 2 Teurlings Catholic 3 University Lab 4 Archbishop Hannan 5 St. Louis 6 White, E.D. 7 Holy Savior Menard 8 North DeSoto 9 Erath 10 Cabrini Division IV 1 Loyola Prep 2 Episcopal of Acadiana 3 McGehee, Louise 4 Houma Christian 5 Acad. of Sacred Heart - N.O. 6 Sterlington 7 Newman, Isidore 8 St. Charles - Could easily be 9 9 Christ Episcopal School - Could easily be 8 10 Catholic - N.I. A lot of ifs,ands,and buts, candy , and nutz, but Byrd could stumble at Pineville. |
|
|
|
Post by jcstewart on Jan 27, 2019 8:04:50 GMT -6
The Pineville game alone won't be enough to surrender the #1 spot. Byrd will still have a 0.1 lead. It'll come down to each team's opponent's outcomes Monday determining the #1 seed.
|
|
|
|
Post by twinsdad on Jan 27, 2019 8:17:16 GMT -6
What happens in D3 if Deridder ties Sam Houston like they did earlier in year or wins with only .6 seperating 9-11
|
|
|
|
Post by dme1214 on Jan 27, 2019 9:58:57 GMT -6
What happens in D3 if Deridder ties Sam Houston like they did earlier in year or wins with only .6 seperating 9-11 If you lose you will drop to 11 maybe even 12 If you tie you stay at 10 If you win you might (within .04) move to 9 If the game isn’t played you stay at 10 |
|
|
|
Post by Antimatter on Jan 27, 2019 10:30:50 GMT -6
The top four in DIV look pretty solid.
What is most interesting is Newman in a tie for 8th. Newman does not play and St Charles plays a team with 3 wins and a tie. Even a win DROPS St Charles out of the tie so there is a case where, if a coach wanted to do so, they could attempt to game the rating by dropping a game. Christ Episcopal at 7 faces the same dilemma and is hit even harder because they are playing a team with 1 win and one tie. Of course, the limitations of the rating is also shown with Newman being at 8 in the first place as the system does not account for playing teams in higher divisions (And the teams that Newman scheduled were top tier teams in those divisions). I do not think it will matter or get in the way of Newman making another run at a title if they were to finish in 9th but it it does leave them with an extra game and a 2nd round game on the road. Just find it all a bit interesting.
|
|
|
|
Post by CoachO on Jan 27, 2019 11:13:58 GMT -6
Worth noting that in D1, Laffy could pass up Baton Rouge as #10 with a win over Teurlings. Maybe even a tie.
|
|
|
|
Post by jcstewart on Jan 27, 2019 11:56:56 GMT -6
Worth noting that in D1, Laffy could pass up Baton Rouge as #10 with a win over Teurlings. Maybe even a tie. A tie might do it. Easier said than done though. Still some scores that need reporting that will affect Lafayette's PR. I'm looking at you St Martinville and Vermilion Catholic. |
|
|
|
Post by copakid14 on Jan 27, 2019 12:00:10 GMT -6
The top four in DIV look pretty solid. What is most interesting is Newman in a tie for 8th. Newman does not play and St Charles plays a team with 3 wins and a tie. Even a win DROPS St Charles out of the tie so there is a case where, if a coach wanted to do so, they could attempt to game the rating by dropping a game. Christ Episcopal at 7 faces the same dilemma and is hit even harder because they are playing a team with 1 win and one tie. Of course, the limitations of the rating is also shown with Newman being at 8 in the first place as the system does not account for playing teams in higher divisions (And the teams that Newman scheduled were top tier teams in those divisions). I do not think it will matter or get in the way of Newman making another run at a title if they were to finish in 9th but it it does leave them with an extra game and a 2nd round game on the road. Just find it all a bit interesting. Something tells me they will be fine with a 2nd round game on the road (10 minutes away) to reward the 1 seed with a 5 hour road trip. 9 seed is much more desirable than the 8. Now both teams have to agree to drop a game so we will see if any of them do not get played. Still have to consider all the teams on each teams schedule and if they have remaining games as that affects the final #s as well. Will be close from 5-10. |
|
|
|
Post by Antimatter on Jan 27, 2019 13:47:35 GMT -6
The top four in DIV look pretty solid. What is most interesting is Newman in a tie for 8th. Newman does not play and St Charles plays a team with 3 wins and a tie. Even a win DROPS St Charles out of the tie so there is a case where, if a coach wanted to do so, they could attempt to game the rating by dropping a game. Christ Episcopal at 7 faces the same dilemma and is hit even harder because they are playing a team with 1 win and one tie. Of course, the limitations of the rating is also shown with Newman being at 8 in the first place as the system does not account for playing teams in higher divisions (And the teams that Newman scheduled were top tier teams in those divisions). I do not think it will matter or get in the way of Newman making another run at a title if they were to finish in 9th but it it does leave them with an extra game and a 2nd round game on the road. Just find it all a bit interesting. Something tells me they will be fine with a 2nd round game on the road (10 minutes away) to reward the 1 seed with a 5 hour road trip. 9 seed is much more desirable than the 8. Now both teams have to agree to drop a game so we will see if any of them do not get played. Still have to consider all the teams on each teams schedule and if they have remaining games as that affects the final #s as well. Will be close from 5-10. They will be fine. In fact, some coaches I know would probably prefer that extra game running into the playoffs. As for traveling that is something that still needs to be corrected. I remember a few years back a higher seed having to cross the entire state because the lower ranked team had played a game three miles from home in a previous round. |
|
|
|
Post by tigersoccer15 on Jan 29, 2019 8:57:19 GMT -6
Slidell vs Hammond was rescheduled for this Monday 1/28 and will be played I think Slidell finishes 24 with a win vs Hammond. Dang, I knew with a 8-0 win that we may fall down a spot, didn’t realize it would be 4 spots and out of the playoffs |
|
|
|
Post by johnnysoccer on Feb 16, 2019 8:21:59 GMT -6
Fan of the Power Rankings or not looks as though they placed #1 and #2 seeds in all Division Finals except for the Road Warriors Northshore in Division I.
Good luck to all in Lafayette next week!
|
|
|
|
Post by CoachO on Feb 16, 2019 11:34:56 GMT -6
Fan of the Power Rankings or not looks as though they placed #1 and #2 seeds in all Division Finals except for the Road Warriors Northshore in Division I. Good luck to all in Lafayette next week! I don't mean to be a woulda/coulda/shoulda guy, but if Byrd hadn't cancelled their Evangel game, SSA would have met Northshore in the quarterfinals. Then Byrd would have been on the other side of the bracket. |
|
