Post by loJic on Sept 30, 2009 5:02:18 GMT -6
So here is what i've come up with using Flat's power rating from last year as a guideline.
What i've added was the FIFA ranking system which calculates strength of game, strength of team and strength of region. Thus giving games more meaning and strength.
There are three aspects to my ratings.
FIFA rankings + Style points + Strength of schedule = Total
FIFA RANKINGS
Ranking points = Match result X Strength of Game X Oppositions strength X Strength of regions
MATCH RESULTS
STRENGTH OF GAME
STRENGTH OF REGION
The multiplier used in the calculation is the average of the regional strength weighting of the two teams:
Regional strength multiplier = Team 1 regional weighting + Team 2 regional weighting/2
example: Jesuit's regional strength = 1. Vandebilt's regional strength = .90
1+.9 / 2 = .95
OPPOSITIONS STRENGTH
Obviously, a win against a very highly ranked opponent is a considerably greater achievement than a win against a low-rated opponent, so the strength of the opposing team is a factor.
The formula used is:
Opposition strength multiplier = 150 - ranking position/74.5
Example: 150 - 8 = 142/74.5 = 1.90
So let's add them all up to show you how this works.
Jesuit is the #1 ranked team in LA
Vandebilt is the #11 ranked team in LA
I think i've explained as much as I can. If you want to see the FIFA ranking system for yourself you can go here:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fifa_rankings
STYLE POINTS
The style point system is added to gauge which teams are dominating certain games. Therefore determining their actual strength against teams.
Example:
Opponents # of wins + Match results + Blow out factor + Shut out factor = Style points
Jesuit v. Woodlawn (4-1)
Woodlawn's # of wins = 11.5
Match result = 5
Blow out factor = 2
Shut out factor = 0
11.5 + 5 + 2 + 0 = 18.5
As the year plays out you will average out the style points throughout the year. Jesuit's style point average is 23.12 out of the 27 games they played. Highest in the state.
Now to add a twist to this equation I added the aggregate of goals scored to goals against. Jesuit had a final aggregate of 3.08. I added the final aggregate to the final average of style points.
23.12 + 3.08 = 25.20
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
Strength of schedule equation. Real simple, just add the strength of opponents schedule with your win% and divide by 2.
Jesuit's strength of schedule is 6.22, their win % is 9.63.
6.22 + 9.63 / 2 = 7.92
The final equation:
Jesuit's final FIFA Ranking = 9.53
Jesuit's final Style Points = 25.20
Jesuits final Strength of Schedule = 7.92
9.53 + 25.20 + 7.92 / 3 = 14.22
WA-LAH!!!!
Now i will say the reason why the FIFA rankings average is so low. Is because all of the "strength of game" and "strength of region" multipliers weren't put into effect. They all were equal throughout the year at 1. Except for the playoffs. The "strength of game" multiplier was at 2 for everyone who made it to the playoffs and 3 for the Championship games. The reason is because it's only fair that all teams got an equal opportunity with a new system. Starting from ground zero. Next year all the aspects of the FIFA rankings will be put into effect.
Also, only games that are eligible are LHSAA games. If a Varsity plays a JV it doesn't count, even in a tournament. If a team plays an out of state team, no matter how good that team is, it will not count toward these ratings. Non-LHSAA teams(example: Ridgewood) aren't eligible. Only LHSAA eligible teams and games.
This is my personal rating system. I will still be doing flat's until another system is voted over it. I will be comparing the two throughout the year to see which one fares better.
Please give me as much feedback as possible. Thank you.
What i've added was the FIFA ranking system which calculates strength of game, strength of team and strength of region. Thus giving games more meaning and strength.
There are three aspects to my ratings.
FIFA rankings + Style points + Strength of schedule = Total
FIFA RANKINGS
Ranking points = Match result X Strength of Game X Oppositions strength X Strength of regions
MATCH RESULTS
| RESULTS | POINTS |
| win | 5 |
| win(shootout) | 3.75 |
| tie | 2.5 |
| lose(shootout) | 1.25 |
| lose | 0 |
STRENGTH OF GAME
| MATCH STATUS | POINTS |
| Non-divisional friendly | 1 |
| Divisional friendly, Low ranked tournaments(avg team ranking under 50) | 1.5 |
| District, Mid ranked tournaments(avg team ranking 25-50) Low ranked tournaments championship(avg team ranking under 50) | 2 |
| Bi-district, Regionals, high ranked tournaments(avg team ranking 1-25) Mid ranked tournaments championship(avg team ranking 25-50) | 2.5 |
| Quarterfinals, Semifinals, high ranked tournaments championship(avg team ranking 1-25) | 3 |
| Division championships | 4 |
STRENGTH OF REGION
| Division I | 1 |
| Division II | .95 |
| Division III | .90 |
The multiplier used in the calculation is the average of the regional strength weighting of the two teams:
Regional strength multiplier = Team 1 regional weighting + Team 2 regional weighting/2
example: Jesuit's regional strength = 1. Vandebilt's regional strength = .90
1+.9 / 2 = .95
OPPOSITIONS STRENGTH
Obviously, a win against a very highly ranked opponent is a considerably greater achievement than a win against a low-rated opponent, so the strength of the opposing team is a factor.
The formula used is:
Opposition strength multiplier = 150 - ranking position/74.5
Example: 150 - 8 = 142/74.5 = 1.90
So let's add them all up to show you how this works.
Jesuit is the #1 ranked team in LA
Vandebilt is the #11 ranked team in LA
| Match | Team | Result Points | Match Status | Opposition Strength | Regional Strength | Final Points |
| Jesuit v Vandebilt(St. Paul's tourney group play) Result: (1-2) | Jesuit Vandebilt | 0 5 | 2.5 2.5 | 1.86 2.00 | .95 .95 | 0 23.75 |
I think i've explained as much as I can. If you want to see the FIFA ranking system for yourself you can go here:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fifa_rankings
STYLE POINTS
The style point system is added to gauge which teams are dominating certain games. Therefore determining their actual strength against teams.
Example:
Opponents # of wins + Match results + Blow out factor + Shut out factor = Style points
Jesuit v. Woodlawn (4-1)
Woodlawn's # of wins = 11.5
Match result = 5
Blow out factor = 2
Shut out factor = 0
11.5 + 5 + 2 + 0 = 18.5
As the year plays out you will average out the style points throughout the year. Jesuit's style point average is 23.12 out of the 27 games they played. Highest in the state.
Now to add a twist to this equation I added the aggregate of goals scored to goals against. Jesuit had a final aggregate of 3.08. I added the final aggregate to the final average of style points.
23.12 + 3.08 = 25.20
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
Strength of schedule equation. Real simple, just add the strength of opponents schedule with your win% and divide by 2.
Jesuit's strength of schedule is 6.22, their win % is 9.63.
6.22 + 9.63 / 2 = 7.92
The final equation:
Jesuit's final FIFA Ranking = 9.53
Jesuit's final Style Points = 25.20
Jesuits final Strength of Schedule = 7.92
9.53 + 25.20 + 7.92 / 3 = 14.22
WA-LAH!!!!
Now i will say the reason why the FIFA rankings average is so low. Is because all of the "strength of game" and "strength of region" multipliers weren't put into effect. They all were equal throughout the year at 1. Except for the playoffs. The "strength of game" multiplier was at 2 for everyone who made it to the playoffs and 3 for the Championship games. The reason is because it's only fair that all teams got an equal opportunity with a new system. Starting from ground zero. Next year all the aspects of the FIFA rankings will be put into effect.
Also, only games that are eligible are LHSAA games. If a Varsity plays a JV it doesn't count, even in a tournament. If a team plays an out of state team, no matter how good that team is, it will not count toward these ratings. Non-LHSAA teams(example: Ridgewood) aren't eligible. Only LHSAA eligible teams and games.
This is my personal rating system. I will still be doing flat's until another system is voted over it. I will be comparing the two throughout the year to see which one fares better.
Please give me as much feedback as possible. Thank you.
1 Jesuit 14.22
2 Shreve 13.22
3 Newman 12.23
4 Dutchtown 12.20
5 Caddo Magnet 12.06
6 St. Paul's 11.82
7 Catholic BR 11.70
8 Lafayette 11.55
9 University 11.33
10 Teurlings 11.31
11 Vandebilt 11.09
12 Brother Martin 11.04
13 East Ascencion 10.99
14 Alexandria 10.96
15 Fontainebleau 10.70
16 St. Thomas Aq. 10.33
17 St. Thomas More 10.29
18 Neville 10.19
19 St. Louis 10.11
20 Menard 10.04
21 Acadiana 9.83
22 Episcopal BR 9.78
23 DeRidder 9.47
24 New Iberia SH 9.46
25 Ruston 9.39
26 McKinley 9.35
27 Woodlawn 9.34
28 Loyola 9.31
29 C.E. Byrd 9.22
30 E.D. White 9.14
31 Beau Chene 9.12
31 Rummel 9.12
33 Carencro 9.02
33 Northlake 9.02
35 Destrehan 8.93
36 Northshore 8.91
37 Bonnabel 8.79
38 St. Martin's 8.69
39 Baton Rouge 8.61
40 Westminster 8.56
41 Terrebonne 8.55
42 Ben Franklin 8.40
43 Grace King 8.34
44 Bossier 8.30
45 St. Michael 8.23
46 Mandeville 8.12
47 Calvary 8.09
48 S. Terrebonne 7.94
49 Parkway 7.81
49 Episcopal Acad 7.81
51 West Monroe 7.62
52 De La Salle 7.45
53 St. Amant 7.35
54 Sulphur 7.09
55 Covington 7.08
56 Parkview 7.02
57 Country Day 7.00
58 Cath New Iberia 6.92
58 Cen Lafourche 6.92
60 Opelousas Cat 6.82
61 Holy Cross 6.74
61 Pearl River 6.74
63 West Jefferson 6.69
64 S. Lafourche 6.52
65 Pope John Paul 6.45
66 Hahnville 6.42
67 Pineville 6.37
68 Barbe 6.14
69 Hammond 6.06
70 Ponchatoula 5.91
71 Tioga 5.84
72 Comeaux 5.79
73 St. Frederick 5.77
74 Ouachita Ch 5.74
75 West Feliciana 5.55
76 Morgan City 5.49
77 Airline 5.48
78 East St. John 5.46
79 Notre Dame 5.42
80 Haughton 5.39
81 Leesville 5.03
82 Runnels 5.00
83 Dunham 4.85
84 Central 4.94
85 Buckeye 4.91
86 Natch Cen. 4.81
87 Lusher 4.78
88 Thibodaux 4.72
89 Catholic PC 4.50
90 Abbeville 4.40
90 Ellender 4.40
92 Zachary 4.37
93 Broadmoor 4.29
94 St. Charles 4.13
94 Denham Springs 4.13
96 Opelousas 4.06
97 Slidell 3.89
98 Christian Life 3.83
99 Ecole Classique 3.72
100 Northside 3.71
101 Ouachita 3.68
102 John Ehret 3.62
103 Shaw 3.60
103 Bolton 3.60
105 East Jefferson 3.59
106 Helen Cox 3.43
106 Sam Houston 3.43
108 Riverdale 3.34
109 Red River 3.27
110 Salmen 3.25
111 Wossman 3.22
112 Independence 3.20
113 Westgate 3.13
114 Fisher 2.90
115 Belle Chase 2.64
116 Erath 2.54
117 Riverside 2.47
118 Rapides 2.27
119 Redemptorist 2.12
120 Southwood 2.10
121 West Ouachita 1.99
122 H.L Bourgeois 1.81
123 Amite 1.75
124 Benton 1.55
125 Houma Christian 1.52
126 Northwood 1.47
127 Belaire 1.32
128 Higgins 0.94
129 Peabody 0.93
130 Glenmora 0.82
131 Lutheran 0.79
132 Patrick Taylor 0.35
DIVISION I DIVIOSION II DIVISION III
1 Jesuit 1 Teurlings 1 Newman
2 Shreve 2 Vandebilt 2 University
3 Dutchtown 3 Alexandria 3 St. Thomas Aquinas
4 Caddo Magnet 4 Neville 4 St. Louis
5 St. Paul's 5 DeRidder 5 Menard
6 Catholic BR 6 McKinley 6 Episcopal BR
7 Lafayette 7 Loyola 7 E.D. White
8 Brother Martin 8 Beau Chene 8 Northlake
9 East Ascencion 9 Bossier 9 St. Martin's
10 Fontainebleau 10 St. Michael 10 Westminster
11 St. Thomas More 11 Parkway 11 Ben Franklin
12 Acadiana 12 Holy Cross 12 Calvary
13 New Iberia SH 12 Pearl River 13 Episcopal Acadiana
14 Ruston 14 Tioga 14 De La Salle
15 Woodlawn 15 St. Frederick 15 Parkview
16 C.E. Byrd 16 Morgan City 16 Country Day
17 Rummel 17 Haughton 17 Catholic New Iberia
18 Carencro 18 Leesville 18 Opelousas Catholic
19 Destrehan 19 Abbeville 19 Pope John Paul
20 Northshore 19 Ellender 20 Ouachita Christian
21 Bonnabel 21 Zachary 21 West Feliciana
22 Baton Rouge 22 Broadmoor 22 Notre Dame
23 Terrebonne 23 Opelousas 23 Runnels
24 Grace King 24 Northside 24 Buckeye
25 Mandeville 25 Ouachita 25 Dunham
26 S. Terrebonne 26 East Jefferson 26 Lusher
27 West Monroe 27 Helen Cox 27 Catholic PC
28 St. Amant 27 Sam Houston 28 St. Charles
29 Sulphur 29 Riverdale 29 Christian Life
30 Covington 30 Salmen 30 Ecole Classique
31 Central Lafourche 31 Wossman 31 Bolton
32 West Jefferson 32 Belle Chase 32 Red River
33 S. Lafourche 33 West Ouachita 33 Independence
34 Hahnville 34 Northwood 34 Fisher
35 Pineville 35 Belaire 35 Erath
36 Barbe 36 Peabody 36 Riverside
37 Hammond 37 Rapides
38 Ponchatoula 38 Redemptorist
39 Comeaux 39 Amite
40 Airline 40 Benton
41 East St. John 41 Houma Christian
42 Central 42 Glenmora
43 Natchitoches Cen. 43 Lutheran
44 Thibodaux 44 Patrick Taylor
45 Denham Springs
46 Slidell
47 John Ehret
48 Shaw
49 Westgate
50 Southwood
51 H.L Bourgeois
52 Higgins
